CR Note: These lower population estimates are of import for projections of economical increment too housing. I mentioned this slowdown inwards increment before this calendar month inwards Is the Future soundless Bright?
From housing economist Tom Lawler: the States Population Growth Slowed Again inwards 2019
Yesterday the Census Bureau released its “Vintage 2019” estimates of the the States resident population, which showed that population increment inwards 2019 was the slowest (in numbers) since 1942 too the slowest inwards per centum increment since 1918. According to these estimates, the the States resident population on July 1, 2019 was 328,239,523, simply 1,552,022 (or 0.475%) higher than the downwardly-revised population gauge for July 1, 2018. 2009 was the 3rd consecutive twelvemonth that the States population increment slowed significantly, reflecting lower births, higher deaths, too lower cyberspace international migration.
The latest population gauge for July 1, 2018 was 479,933 lower than the “Vintage 2018” gauge for that year, amongst the downward revision reflecting somewhat lower births, somewhat higher deaths, too pregnant lower cyberspace international migration. Population estimates for previous years of this decade were too revised downward modestly, mainly reflecting lower estimates for cyberspace international migration.
While updated estimates of the population past times historic menses won’t move available for several months, these latest estimates, if accurate, propose that both full population increment too the increment inwards the working-age population were significantly slower over the past times 2 years than previously thought.
For folks who role Census population projections to forecast other fundamental variables, it is worth noting that the latest population gauge for 2019 is a sizable 1,965,493 lower than the gauge from the “Census 2017” projections, which are the latest available.
Updated population projections, originally slated for unloose inwards belatedly October, are directly scheduled to move released old inwards January. These estimates, however, volition role the “Vintage 2018” estimates every bit a starting point, too every bit such are out of appointment before they are fifty-fifty released. Below is the latest from Census on the upcoming population projections release.
From housing economist Tom Lawler: the States Population Growth Slowed Again inwards 2019
Yesterday the Census Bureau released its “Vintage 2019” estimates of the the States resident population, which showed that population increment inwards 2019 was the slowest (in numbers) since 1942 too the slowest inwards per centum increment since 1918. According to these estimates, the the States resident population on July 1, 2019 was 328,239,523, simply 1,552,022 (or 0.475%) higher than the downwardly-revised population gauge for July 1, 2018. 2009 was the 3rd consecutive twelvemonth that the States population increment slowed significantly, reflecting lower births, higher deaths, too lower cyberspace international migration.
| Births | Deaths | Net International Migration | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-2016 (Yr. Avg.) | 3,961,544 | 2,601,247 | 909,644 | 2,269,941 |
| 2016-2017 | 3,901,982 | 2,788,163 | 930,409 | 2,044,228 |
| 2017-2018 | 3,824,521 | 2,824,382 | 701,823 | 1,701,962 |
| 2018-2019 | 3,791,712 | 2,835,038 | 595,348 | 1,552,022 |
The latest population gauge for July 1, 2018 was 479,933 lower than the “Vintage 2018” gauge for that year, amongst the downward revision reflecting somewhat lower births, somewhat higher deaths, too pregnant lower cyberspace international migration. Population estimates for previous years of this decade were too revised downward modestly, mainly reflecting lower estimates for cyberspace international migration.
While updated estimates of the population past times historic menses won’t move available for several months, these latest estimates, if accurate, propose that both full population increment too the increment inwards the working-age population were significantly slower over the past times 2 years than previously thought.
For folks who role Census population projections to forecast other fundamental variables, it is worth noting that the latest population gauge for 2019 is a sizable 1,965,493 lower than the gauge from the “Census 2017” projections, which are the latest available.
Updated population projections, originally slated for unloose inwards belatedly October, are directly scheduled to move released old inwards January. These estimates, however, volition role the “Vintage 2018” estimates every bit a starting point, too every bit such are out of appointment before they are fifty-fifty released. Below is the latest from Census on the upcoming population projections release.
"The United States of America Census Bureau volition move releasing several novel too updated population projection reports that encompass projected life expectancy past times nativity, projected population past times option migration scenarios too updated population projections past times demographic characteristics. Supplemental information files for the option migration scenarios too input information sets for the primary projections serial are too beingness released."
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